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Author Topic: Blu Ray gone in 5 years
Paul Adsett
Film God

Posts: 5003
From: USA
Registered: Jun 2003


 - posted September 03, 2008 06:30 PM      Profile for Paul Adsett     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
A Samsung executive is quoted as saying that the life of the Blu Ray format is "going to be about 5 years , I certainly would'nt give it 10 years". Apparently in about 5 years it will be replaced with something better, although he did'nt say what.
This is really encouraging for anyone about to invest in Blu Ray! [Frown]

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Mark Todd
Film God

Posts: 3846
From: UK
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted September 03, 2008 06:54 PM      Profile for Mark Todd     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi Paul, I would imagine std dvd will still be doing great guns in 5 years as still surging ahead.
I suppose it depends on how you look at it, owning and enjoying viewing the super BR discs will still be great fun and nice to own.Nothing lasts forever.But if you collect them now I`m sure there will be a way to view/enjoy them in 10 odd + years.
I know people who spend a fortune in the pub every month to then just stand in the loo watching it going down the drain.
I`m sure BR will hold on to a degree . But I still think VMD HD red laser, the sort of multi layer usual DVD udgraded to HD was the best but poorly marketed step on and affordable format on offer.
Shame its not caught the imagination.
The name was rather poor as well. I emailed the company to the chap in charge suggesting things to improve the image, name, take up etc etc, got a mail read reply but nothing else.
Best Mark.

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Claus Harding
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1149
From: Washington DC
Registered: Oct 2006


 - posted September 03, 2008 08:00 PM      Profile for Claus Harding   Email Claus Harding   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I don't find it that strange that some will say Blu-Ray will be gone in 5 years; when it comes to 'new' these days, the market is getting increasingly faster on turnarounds.

If it happens, I will by then have a nice collection of Blu-Rays(of the films I truly want in that format) in addition to still being able to play regular DVDs on my PlayStation 3.
Much as with film and other audio and video formats that are no longer 'the thing' (and god knows I have enough of those) one can still enjoy them.

Claus.

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"Why are there shots of deserts in a scene that's supposed to take place in Belgium during the winter?" (Review of 'Battle of the Bulge'.)

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Steven J Kirk
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 873
From: Southern England
Registered: Apr 2008


 - posted September 03, 2008 08:08 PM      Profile for Steven J Kirk   Email Steven J Kirk   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Knowing what I do about Samsung product, I doubt the Samsung PLAYER will last 5 years... VMD HD - your post is the first I've heard of it. I had a quick look around the internet but it seems madness to try and compete in HD now with the economics as they are. Blu-Ray is the best format technically, for the home, and I am using it with great results. I hope it goes from strength to strength. There is so much talk about getting a player down to $50 in Walmart on the internet, who cares? Surely we are the kind of people who want the best set up we can afford and make it a priority.

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VistaVision
Motion Picture High-Fidelity

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John Clancy
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1954
From: Cornwall
Registered: Jun 2003


 - posted September 04, 2008 04:02 AM      Profile for John Clancy   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
You're right Steven... and to that end, I think I'll fire up the GS1200 [Wink]

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British Film Collectors Convention home page www.bfcc.biz. The site is for the whole of the film collecting hobby and not just the BFCC.

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Mark Williams
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 846
From: West Sussex
Registered: Mar 2007


 - posted September 04, 2008 04:08 AM      Profile for Mark Williams   Email Mark Williams   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Total rubbish!!!

Blu ray sales are actually on the increase,see below..

http://www.dvdfile.com/article/blu-ray-disc-progress-report-12500

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Mark Todd
Film God

Posts: 3846
From: UK
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted September 04, 2008 04:51 AM      Profile for Mark Todd     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Funny I`d heard that std dvd sales and players were still zooming up and ahead, but it does look as if BR will do well.
Obviously machine and disc prices need to fall.
We buy plenty of std dvds for 2.99 posted with top picture quality etc, compare that to VHS 20 years ago.
Even when DVD came in VHS was still often selling at round 10.99 to £14 or so, it was only dvd put it down to more sensible levels.
DVD has been great for affordabe and great quality films in the Home.
I don`t think downloading will hit DVD or BR sales so much as theres still the human need to collect and own and feel something tangiable.
Who wants a box full of 5 thousand films at a flick, not me and also there`s present buying where dvd and BR come in to thier own.
Be insteresting to see how BR disc sales go for Christmas this year, with the samsung 1500 player at not much more than £150 delivered on and off, I think many dvd real enthusiasts will now be taking the plunge.
BR players will be around for many years to come and so should be getting a device to play them.
I love film and still do it but BR discs don`t come oh so regularly like film, with parts missing, bad scratches, sound missing in places, damaged sprocket holes, fading, poor prints,warped/vs, themselves etc.
All power to BR and film on disc its great and real film will still be with us as well.
Real film isn`t as good overall, lets be honest, but its what it is and what its enjoyed for.
As we love film so much we should get on the blower and be ordering much more new from Derann and CHC and really making a better effort there.
Anyone who thinks film looks better in the home than dvd or BR projected especially on the new Video projectors, has the set up wrong or a poor transfer etc, the new gear and way of watching film( on disc) is superb and something we can all enjoy as well as our films.
Best Mark.
PS films own Paul Foster sells cracking value BR discs for anyone interested.

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Mark Williams
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 846
From: West Sussex
Registered: Mar 2007


 - posted September 04, 2008 05:52 AM      Profile for Mark Williams   Email Mark Williams   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi-Mark,

Yes I totally agree with you here,I still enjoy collecting and running both formats,I actually still like the checking,cleaning and spliceing thats all part of film collecting isnt it,with BD you just have to open the plastic wrapper and pop it into your player not so interesting.

However the BD image is really something to behold,the definition cannot be beaten I,m afraid when viewing a full 1080p HD picture.

But then again I still love showing my Laurel & Hardys on super 8mm,a projector adds to there whole presentation in my opion.

I hope to be running both formats for years to come!!!

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peter booth
Master Film Handler

Posts: 258
From: scarborough,north yorkshire
Registered: Jul 2004


 - posted September 04, 2008 06:25 AM      Profile for peter booth   Email peter booth       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi Mark,
I'm glad you mentioned Paul Foster.all my Blu Ray discs have come from him,,great value,Peter.

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Osi Osgood
Film God

Posts: 10204
From: Mountian Home, ID.
Registered: Jul 2005


 - posted September 04, 2008 09:43 AM      Profile for Osi Osgood   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I've always had a non aired suspicion that BR may be the Laserdisc of the new millenium. Laserdisc was a BIG step up from VHS, but it never really caught on, (mostly, because you could not record on them, cost was only a slight problem).

A comment earlier in the posts, (paraphrase)

" If we loved film so much, we'd buy up CHC or Derann. "

Love to ... if only the extra odd 300 pounds were sitiin g around every month, but they're not. I must say, If I was rich, I would pretty much buy up everything Derann has, except the musicals, never really cared for them, cept "Singing In The Rain"

The earlier posts were right though, the turnaround on emerging technologies is staggering. I really wonder how the companies market something; if they ask, "Will this still be out there five years from now? "

I mean, I already see BR in the pawnshops, and that's here in Mountain Home, Idaho, population 10,000!

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"All these moments will be lost in time, just like ... tears, in the rain. "

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Mark Todd
Film God

Posts: 3846
From: UK
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted September 04, 2008 10:38 AM      Profile for Mark Todd     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
BR is already way beyond Laserdisc Osi and the public are now well into films on a shiney disc too.
I think its way different in that respect, also BR discs are popping up for sale all over when Laserdiscs were few and far between in many areas.

Aslo if Laserdisc had the net oppertunities behind it , it would have been many, many, times more succesful and dvd might have even got here sooner because of it.
Best Mark.

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Steve Klare
Film Guy

Posts: 7016
From: Long Island, NY, USA
Registered: Jun 2003


 - posted September 04, 2008 10:54 AM      Profile for Steve Klare   Email Steve Klare   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
I love the logic of announcing the obsolescence of something while nobody knows what the new thing will be yet, or even before it's gained it's full market acceptance. It's basically saying "We're planning on this not being a lasting technology."

The question is if it's so all-fired wonderful will we really need for it to become "better"?

If this trend continues it will be the death of remote shopping: the stuff will be obsolete by the time the package shows up!

I love musicals: it's the only place where people can spontaneously break out in song and have everybody around them not think they're really weird!

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All I ask is a wide screen and a projector to light her by...

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Osi Osgood
Film God

Posts: 10204
From: Mountian Home, ID.
Registered: Jul 2005


 - posted September 04, 2008 11:23 AM      Profile for Osi Osgood   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Mark,

What I meant was regular DVD and BR is like the comparison between Laserdisc and VHS. Laserdisc WAS a big jump up from VHS.
BR is a big jump up from DVD, (comparitively).

I actually did stand up comedy for a short time and I had a routine about the silliness of Elvis musicals ...

You could see Elvis come up to a train track, where his friend is tied ...

" ELVIS! I'm tied to the track, and a trains coming, save me!"

Does Elvis untie his friend? No! He breaks into song!

" Well, a trains a comin down the track, Bah huh huh!
Bah huh huh! "

" No Elvis, c'mon! I'm serious, the train's coming!! "

(Now the Go go dancers come down from out of the air, in bikini's!)

" Well, a trains a comin down the track, bah huh huh!
Bah huh huh! "

" ELVIS!! YOU STUPID BASTARD! GET ME OFF THIS TRACK!! "

" Well, a trains comin down the track
Here it comes a clickety clack,
Bah huh huh, bah huh huh! "

" THE TRAIN AIGH!!! ELVIS!! "

(Now the Jordinaires join Elvis)(note: Elvis hip swings)

" We'll the train's, a comin down-own,
the track!
BA WA WA WA WA WA WA WA WA WA OOOOH WAAAH! "

(Gruesome sounds as friend is run over by train!)

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"All these moments will be lost in time, just like ... tears, in the rain. "

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Stewart McSporran
Master Film Handler

Posts: 272
From: Glasgow, Scotland
Registered: Nov 2003


 - posted September 04, 2008 03:53 PM      Profile for Stewart McSporran   Email Stewart McSporran   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Does anyone have a web link for Paul Foster's DVD service, alluded to above? FosterFilms.co.uk is all cine.

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Steven J Kirk
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 873
From: Southern England
Registered: Apr 2008


 - posted September 04, 2008 06:16 PM      Profile for Steven J Kirk   Email Steven J Kirk   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
The other great thing about Blu Ray for those of us in PAL areas like the UK is that we can finally see 24fps on video. That does make a difference... But hey, I just fulfilled a childhood dream by purchasing a full length print of KING KONG on super 8mm! ( Don't bother to ask which version - there's only one KONG!)

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VistaVision
Motion Picture High-Fidelity

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Mark Todd
Film God

Posts: 3846
From: UK
Registered: Aug 2003


 - posted September 04, 2008 07:27 PM      Profile for Mark Todd     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Here we go Stewart, usually a £1 post or aorund there if you go through email or phone.
Best Mark.

http://shop.ebay.co.uk/merchant/films16

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Graham Sinden
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1131
From: Kent, UK
Registered: Aug 2005


 - posted September 05, 2008 07:11 AM      Profile for Graham Sinden   Email Graham Sinden   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Steven, | take it it's the 1976 version. Is the colour still good. [Big Grin] [Big Grin]

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Paul Spinks
Master Film Handler

Posts: 453
From: Barking, Essex, UK
Registered: Mar 2006


 - posted September 05, 2008 09:42 AM      Profile for Paul Spinks   Email Paul Spinks   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
It will be interesting to see if the mass sales of players needed for Blu Ray to take over from regular DVD will occur now that we seem to heading for a recession. [Frown]

Paul.

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Steven J Kirk
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 873
From: Southern England
Registered: Apr 2008


 - posted September 05, 2008 10:09 AM      Profile for Steven J Kirk   Email Steven J Kirk   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Jessica Lange was the only good bit of the 76 version. The Empire State sequence in the new one is impressive but it is SO LONG-WINDED. Might get the BR disc of that one at some point - when it's cheap. Just to test that 24p video look! But Fay Wray - what a babe!

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VistaVision
Motion Picture High-Fidelity

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Bill Brandenstein
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1632
From: California
Registered: Aug 2007


 - posted September 05, 2008 10:42 AM      Profile for Bill Brandenstein   Email Bill Brandenstein   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
quote:
saith Steve Klare:
I love the logic of announcing the obsolescence of something while nobody knows what the new thing will be yet, or even before it's gained it's full market acceptance. It's basically saying "We're planning on this not being a lasting technology."

The question is if it's so all-fired wonderful will we really need for it to become "better"?

Hear, hear. Even if the Samsung guy is right, from a business point-of-view it's lunacy to let such a word get out. And I don't buy it for a minute. Consumers are NOT into the Next Big Thing that much, unless it's portable or plays really, really cool games...

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Joerg Polzfusz
Jedi Master Film Handler

Posts: 815
From: Berlin, Germany, Europe, Earth, Solar System
Registered: Apr 2006


 - posted September 05, 2008 11:28 AM      Profile for Joerg Polzfusz   Author's Homepage   Email Joerg Polzfusz   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Hi,

there are several new storage-media in the work, e.g.:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holographic_Versatile_Disc
They're supposed to store the films either uncompressed (= no more compression artefacts) in HD or compressed in higher resolutions (2k, 4k, ...).
Other solutions don't offer more storage, but are cheaper and/or more friendly to the environment and/or are supposed to allow a longer storage and/or are smaller.

... and of course there are others that claim that there will be no next removable medium as all future videos will only be available on demand as an internet-stream on a pay-per-view-base.

Jörg

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Bill Brandenstein
Phenomenal Film Handler

Posts: 1632
From: California
Registered: Aug 2007


 - posted September 08, 2008 12:42 AM      Profile for Bill Brandenstein   Email Bill Brandenstein   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
There's technical obsolescence, and then there's practical obsolescence, which don't necessarily go hand-in-hand.

Fascinating stuff. Thanks for the link, Joerg.

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Steve Klare
Film Guy

Posts: 7016
From: Long Island, NY, USA
Registered: Jun 2003


 - posted September 08, 2008 05:20 AM      Profile for Steve Klare   Email Steve Klare   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Then again there is planned obsolescence.

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All I ask is a wide screen and a projector to light her by...

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Graham Ritchie
Film God

Posts: 4001
From: New Zealand
Registered: Feb 2006


 - posted September 12, 2008 05:03 AM      Profile for Graham Ritchie   Email Graham Ritchie   Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Well as far as New Zealand is concerned if they want to push this product they are doing a dismal job, "best kept secret so far" [Roll Eyes] you would think that after all the money spent to develop B/R they would at least try to push things along a bit more, as far as titles are concerned its been... really slow.. I will hold of getting into B/R until the people behind it make more effort.

Graham.

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Osi Osgood
Film God

Posts: 10204
From: Mountian Home, ID.
Registered: Jul 2005


 - posted September 12, 2008 11:03 AM      Profile for Osi Osgood   Author's Homepage     Send New Private Message       Edit/Delete Post 
Graham ...

It almost sounds like, even at this point, those that are pushing BR aren't even sure.

... but things are growing at such a rate, I'm truly stunned with all the changes in gadgets! We can all vouch for just how much things have changed in the last thirty years. When STAR WARS came out, it was so HIGH TECH to actually have even the 200ft version of the TIE FIGHTER battle on your wall when you had just seen it days before in the theater,(as they kept on re-releasing it each year). and now, here I am, only four months after it was released, only waiting one more month for the latest Indiana Jones film to come out on DVD, which, if I desire, I can project on the wall at 200ft!

... and, even as we speak, home technology is way beyond that, (though not released to the general public.)

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"All these moments will be lost in time, just like ... tears, in the rain. "

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